The King's Speech is precisely the kind of film that has long appealed to awards voters: It's historical, focuses on royalty, depicts a character overcoming physical adversity and features a classy cast.
So it should come as no surprise that it received the most Golden Globe nominations on Tuesday with seven, including best picture, on a morning when there were few surprises to be found. The film's director, Tom Hooper, was also among the nominees, as were stars Colin Firth, Geoffrey Rush and Helena Bonham Carter.
Based on the story of how King George VI (Firth) battled a stammer with the help of an unorthodox speech therapist (Rush) just prior to the Second World War, The King's Speech hits all the right notes and does it with impeccable polish. But beneath the flawless production values and period trappings is a relevant story about uplift — always popular come awards time.
Other top nominees were David Fincher's The Social Network, which traces the origins of Facebook, and David O. Russell's The Fighter, inspired by the true story of Boston-area boxer "Irish" Micky Ward. Both films received six nominations, including best picture and best director.
The Social Network has been racking up top honours from critics groups across the country in recent days, including those in New York and Los Angeles.
The visceral, intimate 127 Hours, based on the true story of a hiker who was trapped beneath a boulder for that duration, has also been a favourite so far, but it only received three Golden Globe nominations: best actor in a drama (James Franco), screenplay and original score. Still, it's been in the mix among awards prognosticators and critics filling out their top-10 lists.
Wackier
Even some of the wackier picks that had people all worked up on Tuesday morning — the flashy but critically panned Burlesque and The Tourist earning three nominations each, including best musical or comedy — also make some sense historically.
Yes, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, which hands out the awards on January 16, has been more in alignment with Academy Awards voters over the past decade or so. But the group — composed of about 85 critics and reporters for overseas outlets — also likes its international superstars.
And so we have Johnny Depp receiving not one but two nominations, competing against himself as best musical or comedy actor for Alice in Wonderland and The Tourist, and his Tourist co-star Angelina Jolie is a best-actress nominee.
Two songs from the guilty-pleasure Burlesque were nominated, ones sung by Cher and Christina Aguilera. Other glamorous surprise nominees include Anne Hathaway and Jake Gyllenhaal for Love and Other Drugs and Halle Berry for Frankie and Alice. Meanwhile, the Coen Brothers' acclaimed remake of the Western True Grit was oddly shut out.
It's highly unlikely those lighter, frothier titles will surface again when Oscar nominations are announced January 25 — after all, the Golden Globes are divided into drama and musical/comedy categories, so there's room for a wider range of films. If any of the five best comedy nominees is likely to be included among the 10 best-picture slots at the Academy Awards, it's The Kids Are All Right, starring Annette Bening and Julianne Moore, who were both nominated.
Still, while the obviousness of the Golden Globes doesn't necessarily make it a surefire Oscar predictor, it can be pretty close. All four acting winners at the Academy Awards this past year had won previously at the Globes. But then there was the behemoth Avatar, which won at the Globes, while the independent The Hurt Locker quietly gathered steam and took home the best-picture Oscar.
One thing that's certain: With Ricky Gervais hosting, Golden Globe night will at least be entertaining to watch, even if not all of the nominated films themselves are.
