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The Dubai Marina. Markus Giebel, CEO of Deyaar Development Co, said that he does not expect real estate prices to change drastically in the next year. Image Credit: JAVED NAWAB/Gulf News

Dubai: Dubai's real estate prices have nearly bottomed out and should start to recover, but probably not until at least next year, the head of one of the emirate's most prominent property developers said on MOnday.

Prices in the UAE dropped by half in less than a year from their peak in late 2008 as overseas buyers, many of them speculators relying on easy credit, fled the market.

The unexpectedly steep plunge led to widespread job cuts and deprived many local developers the cash they needed to pay the bills and cover debts racked up in a torrid building boom.

Deyaar Development Co, Dubai's second-biggest listed developer, was among those hurt by the downturn.

CEO Markus Giebel told reporters yesterday that while he does not expect a dramatic recovery in Dubai's property market, prices are unlikely to fall significantly further.

"Dubai has reached a bottom phase," Giebel said. "I cannot tell you if it goes 5 per cent up or down. But I'm very certain it will not go 20 or 30 per cent up or down in the next year."

Giebel said he expects prices will fluctuate in a narrow range before possibly starting to recover in 2011.