Dubai 24K gold slips under Dh600, lowest since February

Prices slip to monthly low as Fed outlook and oil-driven inflation weigh on gold

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Stock Gold Dubai 2025
Gold Souq in Deira.

The decline reflects a shift in sentiment after gold traded in a narrow range in recent sessions, with international prices now at their lowest level in about a month.

Global prices under pressure

Spot gold slipped below the $5,000 level, falling around 1% to $4,956.53 an ounce in London trading, marking the weakest level since mid-February. Other metals also softened, with silver, platinum and palladium recording modest losses.

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The move comes as investors reassess expectations around US monetary policy and rising inflation risks linked to higher oil prices.

Energy markets remain a key driver. Oil holding above $100 a barrel has raised concerns that inflation could stay elevated, limiting the room for central banks to cut interest rates in the near term. Higher borrowing costs typically weigh on gold, which does not offer interest income.

Fed outlook in focus

Attention is now on the US Federal Reserve’s policy decision and its forward guidance. Markets widely expect rates to remain unchanged, but the tone around inflation and growth will be closely watched.

Inki Cho, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness, said, “Gold remained under some pressure on Wednesday and traded near its lowest level in roughly a month.”

She added, “Energy prices continue to drive sentiment, influencing the inflation outlook and Treasury yields. Elevated oil levels are reinforcing concerns that inflation could remain sticky, reducing the likelihood of near-term monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, weighing on gold in the process.”

Recent outflows from gold-backed exchange-traded funds have also pointed to softer investor demand, adding to downward pressure.

Broader central bank signals

Markets are also preparing for rate decisions from other major central banks, including those in Europe, Switzerland, Canada and Japan, which could add volatility to precious metals.

Cho said, “Markets are now focused on the Fed’s monetary policy decision and, more importantly, its economic projections.”

She added, “A more cautious tone would likely support yields and the dollar, maintaining pressure on gold.”

Support remains in place

Despite the recent pullback, gold has gained about 15% this year, supported by continued central bank buying and demand for safe-haven assets.

Cho noted, “Continued tensions in Eastern Europe and sustained central bank purchases could limit downside risks for the metal, keeping the long-term bullish trend intact.”

The drop below Dh600 marks a notable shift for UAE buyers after weeks of elevated prices, with the market now entering a softer phase.

Prices remain sensitive to global cues, particularly oil movements and central bank signals, leaving the near-term outlook dependent on how inflation and interest rate expectations evolve in the coming weeks.

- With inputs from Bloomberg.

Nivetha Dayanand is Assistant Business Editor at Gulf News, covering aviation, financial markets and commodities. A business and financial journalist with a strong interest in multimedia storytelling, she regularly takes complex financial and economic subjects beyond the written word, producing explainer videos that make them easier for a wider audience to understand. Nivetha has interviewed senior policymakers, business leaders and global financial figures both on and off camera. Her past guests include UAE Minister of Economy and Tourism Abdulla bin Touq Al Marri, Khaled bin Alwaleed Al Saud, a member of the House of Saud and the founder and CEO of KBW Ventures, Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund and Indian ministers Hardeep Singh Puri and N. Chandrababu Naidu. She has also hosted and moderated panels, conferences and awards shows, bringing her newsroom experience to live conversations on business, finance and the economy. An Erasmus Mundus journalism alum, Nivetha is drawn to stories that affect people directly and to reporting that gives a platform to voices that might otherwise go unheard. She was among the first journalists to speak to Petrofac employees in the UAE about unpaid salaries, broke the news of the planned demolition of Dubai’s well-known “Toyota Building”, and helped set the record straight on widely circulated claims that a giant replica of the Moon was coming to Dubai. More recently, her exclusive interview with EDGE Group CEO Hamad Al Marar revealed how the UAE-based defence group deployed its systems along the country’s shore border and established a geofence around the UAE within 48 hours of the February 28 escalation. Prior to joining Gulf News, Nivetha worked at ITP Media, where she helped launch Finance Middle East, a new publication covering the region’s financial sector. Her role spanned reporting and editing, video production, interviews and events. Across print, digital, and video, she focuses on finding the people behind business stories and explaining why those stories matter to the audience reading or watching them.

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