Exit polls predict BJP sweep in Delhi; AAP faces rout, Congress in ruins

Dubai: Exit polls for the 2025 Delhi Assembly election have handed the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) a decisive edge, signalling a historic power shift after two decades.

If the predictions hold, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is set for a major blow, dashing Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal’s hopes for a third consecutive term.

Meanwhile, the Congress faces yet another electoral disaster, with forecasts suggesting another wipeout.

With 70 seats in the Assembly and 36 needed for a majority, NDTV’s Poll of Exit Polls projects the BJP winning 41 seats, the AAP 28, and the Congress just one — a marginal improvement from its humiliating zero-seat showings in 2015 and 2020.

If these numbers hold, it will mark the BJP’s first return to power in Delhi since 1998, delivering a significant boost to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s party ahead of the 2026 state elections.

• A majority of exit polls paint a clear BJP victory:

• People’s Pulse predicts a landslide, giving the BJP 51-60 seats.

• Poll Diary and People’s Insight expect 40+ seats for the saffron party.

• JVC, Chanakya Strategies, and P-Marq place the BJP at 39+ seats, with a potential to cross 40.

• DV Research suggests a razor-thin majority but still tilts in the BJP’s favor.

• However, there is one outlier—WeePreside’s poll, which contradicts the trend and forecasts a AAP sweep with 46-52 seats, a scenario dismissed by most other pollsters.

AAP faces a downfall amid corruption scandals

For Arvind Kejriwal, the exit polls paint a grim picture. After securing 67 seats in 2015 and 62 in 2020, his party now stares at a massive decline.

• P-Marq sees the AAP winning at most 31 seats.

• People’s Pulse suggests a worst-case scenario of just 10 seats — a collapse from its dominant past.

• Matrize predicts a hung Assembly, with the AAP at 32-37 seats and the BJP at 35-40, making the contest too close to call.

Congress: A party in free fall

Once the dominant force in Delhi, the Congress remains in electoral free fall. The best-case scenario — according to Chanakya Strategies—gives it a meager three seats, while People’s Pulse projects yet another zero-seat disaster.

what are exit polls?

Exit polls are surveys conducted right after voters cast their ballots, aimed at predicting election outcomes based on their responses. However, exit polls are not official results and should not be considered as final. The actual outcomes may differ once votes are counted and officially declared.

With just days to go before votes are counted on Saturday, the stage is set for a possible BJP resurgence, an AAP downfall, and Congress’ continued irrelevance in the capital’s political landscape.

Voter turnout

The voter turnout in Delhi stood at 57.7 per cent by 5pm. Voting concluded at 6 pm. However, the final voter turnout will be announced after postal ballots are counted on Saturday.

The Delhi elections 2020 recorded a voter turnout of 62.59 per cent, a dip from 67.1 per cent recorded in 2015, the highest in the city’s electoral history.