New Delhi/Singapore: India's top privately run refiner Reliance is expected to raise crude oil imports by about 22 per cent this year as it ramps up production at its giant complex, further stamping its mark on world markets.
To maximise profit margins with its sophisticated refining capability, Reliance Industries is also set to limit African crude imports this year in favour of Middle East grades, if light crude prices continue to strengthen against heavy-sour grades, traders and analysts said.
"I expect Reliance refineries to run at full steam, even if in between there is a small shutdown, they can easily run at about 65 million tonnes," a trader familiar with refining operations, said. Reliance declined comment on traders' estimates.
This means that the company's two refineries — the largest facility in the world — will run above their full combined capacity of 1.24 million barrels per day (bpd), higher than last year when its second plant began operating at full rate in the second half.
After the world first saw increasing flows from Reliance in the summer of 2008, with the start of its new 580,000 bpd plant, this year will see the full blast of exports of high-value diesel and gasoline made from a diverse slate of the cheapest available crudes.
Defensive mode
This will put pressure on weak Western refineries and arbitrage traders at a time oil demand is just starting to pick up, but is still in defensive mode, analysts said.
"It's a powerful refinery, and if they get the right logistics, they can probably penetrate Western markets, gain market share and push some out of the market entirely," John Vautrain, senior vice-president, Purvin & Gertz said.
The refiner's 2009 crude shipments from Africa including Egypt and Sudan rose more than fivefold to over 200,000 bpd, making the continent its No. 2 supplier, overtaking Latin America.
This is in line with a 74 per cent jump in total imports.
It bought crudes as varied as Cameroon's Lokele, Chad's Doba, Venezuela's Corocoro, and China's Penglai, while resuming Iraqi crude imports that it shunned in 2006.
Reliance for the first time imported Gimboa crude from Angola, which positioned itself as the fourth-biggest supplier, surpassing Venezuela.
Though Middle East crude remains Reliance's main staple, Opec supply cuts in end-2008 — around the time the refiner started its new plant — prompted it to turn to African crude to make up for the gap when Gulf grades became costlier last year.
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