UPDATE

Dubai gold stay pricey on renewed fears of US shutdown, looming Fed rate cut

Shoppers face steep jewellery costs as bullion rallies on global uncertainty

Last updated:
Nivetha Dayanand, Assistant Business Editor and Justin Varghese, Your Money Editor
Gold price stays elevated buoyed by US shutdown risks, rate-cut bets
Gold price stays elevated buoyed by US shutdown risks, rate-cut bets

Dubai: Gold prices in the emirate climbed to record levels on Monday as global bullion surged past $3,950 per ounce. Locally, 22-karat gold stood at Dh440 per gram while 24-karat traded at Dh475.25.

(Check latest UAE gold prices here, alongside prices in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait.) Meanwhile, the Indian gold rate for 24-karat gold was back up at ₹12,076 per gram, and the rate for 22-karat gold rose to ₹11,070 per gram by Monday evening. 

On international markets, gold surged to a new peak of $3,955 an ounce before retreating slightly. The metal rose amid renewed fears over a US government shutdown and growing uncertainty over economic data releases.

The impasse in Washington has delayed Friday’s payroll report, leaving markets to lean on private data and intensifying volatility. With less clarity around the health of the US economy, central banks face difficulty in setting policy paths. In that vacuum, rate traders are increasingly pricing in a quarter-point cut by the Fed at month's end, a move that would favour non-yielding assets such as gold.

Gold’s rally this year has been dramatic. The metal has climbed nearly 50%, powered by geopolitical and economic uncertainty, expectations of easing by the Fed, and central bank purchases aimed at reducing exposure to US dollar assets.

Looking ahead, momentum looks intact. Banks like Goldman Sachs and HSBC have flagged the potential for gold to breach $4,000 an ounce in the near term, citing persistent demand from official sectors and ongoing policy uncertainty.

In Dubai, jewellery traders and retail buyers remain cautious even as local prices remain sticky at record levels. Many expect further upside if external pressures intensify, particularly if the US fiscal standoff lingers and rate cuts materialise.

Nivetha Dayanand
Nivetha DayanandAssistant Business Editor
Nivetha Dayanand is Assistant Business Editor at Gulf News, covering aviation, financial markets and commodities. A business and financial journalist with a strong interest in multimedia storytelling, she regularly takes complex financial and economic subjects beyond the written word, producing explainer videos that make them easier for a wider audience to understand. Nivetha has interviewed senior policymakers, business leaders and global financial figures both on and off camera. Her past guests include UAE Minister of Economy and Tourism Abdulla bin Touq Al Marri, Khaled bin Alwaleed Al Saud, a member of the House of Saud and the founder and CEO of KBW Ventures, Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund and Indian ministers Hardeep Singh Puri and N. Chandrababu Naidu. She has also hosted and moderated panels, conferences and awards shows, bringing her newsroom experience to live conversations on business, finance and the economy. An Erasmus Mundus journalism alum, Nivetha is drawn to stories that affect people directly and to reporting that gives a platform to voices that might otherwise go unheard. She was among the first journalists to speak to Petrofac employees in the UAE about unpaid salaries, broke the news of the planned demolition of Dubai’s well-known “Toyota Building”, and helped set the record straight on widely circulated claims that a giant replica of the Moon was coming to Dubai. More recently, her exclusive interview with EDGE Group CEO Hamad Al Marar revealed how the UAE-based defence group deployed its systems along the country’s shore border and established a geofence around the UAE within 48 hours of the February 28 escalation. Prior to joining Gulf News, Nivetha worked at ITP Media, where she helped launch Finance Middle East, a new publication covering the region’s financial sector. Her role spanned reporting and editing, video production, interviews and events. Across print, digital, and video, she focuses on finding the people behind business stories and explaining why those stories matter to the audience reading or watching them.

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