Dubai gold prices surge amid US-Iran tensions and Fed uncertainty

Local rates reverse Monday’s dip while global bullion trades in a narrow range

Last updated:
Nivetha Dayanand, Assistant Business Editor
The key gold price levels to watch now are the round numbers, $3,900 and $4,000.
The key gold price levels to watch now are the round numbers, $3,900 and $4,000.
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Dubai: Dubai gold buyers faced higher rates on Tuesday morning after local prices reversed Monday’s decline, with the 24-karat variety gaining Dh3.75 per gram.

The 24K rate stood at Dh489.25 per gram at 9.11 am on August 4, compared with Dh485.50 on Monday. The 22K variety rose by Dh3.50 to Dh453 per gram from Dh449.50.

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Buyers purchasing 21K gold were quoted Dh434.25 per gram, up from Dh431, while the 18K variety increased to Dh372.25 from Dh369.50.

Prices recover after Monday’s decline

Dubai gold rates began August at Dh487.25 per gram for 24K and Dh451.25 for 22K, with both varieties remaining unchanged on August 2.

Prices moved lower on Monday, when 24K gold slipped to Dh485.50 and 22K fell to Dh449.50, before recovering on Tuesday morning.

The latest increase left the 24K rate Dh2 above its August 1 level, while 22K gold was Dh1.75 higher than at the beginning of the month.

Bullion holds near $4,060

Gold traded in a narrow range globally as investors monitored diplomatic efforts aimed at cooling tensions between the US and Iran, which could push energy prices lower and reduce pressure on the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

Bullion traded near $4,060 an ounce after ending Monday little changed.

President Donald Trump, after calling off an attack, described his latest offer of talks as Tehran’s “last chance” and said he expected the Strait of Hormuz to reopen fully.

Tehran denied that it was holding talks with the US but said discussions with Oman aimed at allowing more ships to move through the Strait of Hormuz were progressing.

Currency intervention adds pressure to bond markets

US and Japanese officials separately indicated that they were determined to continue defending the yen following their first joint currency intervention in 15 years.

Japan is the largest foreign holder of US Treasuries, and any bond sales used to fund efforts to support the yen could place further pressure on US government debt while inflation concerns and the Iran war continue to push yields higher.

Higher bond yields and expectations that interest rates will remain elevated typically weigh on gold, which does not provide investors with a regular yield.

Interest-rate outlook remains in focus

Gold has declined by more than a fifth since the US-Iran war began in late February, with higher energy prices adding to inflationary pressure and increasing the likelihood that interest rates will remain elevated for longer.

Federal Reserve officials kept monetary policy unchanged at their meeting last week, although three policymakers dissented in favour of an interest-rate increase.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said interest rates remained well positioned and that inflation should ease during the second half of the year, according to an interview with Reuters published on Monday.

- With inputs from Bloomberg.

Nivetha Dayanand
Nivetha DayanandAssistant Business Editor
Nivetha Dayanand is Assistant Business Editor at Gulf News, covering aviation, financial markets and commodities. A business and financial journalist with a strong interest in multimedia storytelling, she regularly takes complex financial and economic subjects beyond the written word, producing explainer videos that make them easier for a wider audience to understand. Nivetha has interviewed senior policymakers, business leaders and global financial figures both on and off camera. Her past guests include UAE Minister of Economy and Tourism Abdulla bin Touq Al Marri, Khaled bin Alwaleed Al Saud, a member of the House of Saud and the founder and CEO of KBW Ventures, Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department at the International Monetary Fund and Indian ministers Hardeep Singh Puri and N. Chandrababu Naidu. She has also hosted and moderated panels, conferences and awards shows, bringing her newsroom experience to live conversations on business, finance and the economy. An Erasmus Mundus journalism alum, Nivetha is drawn to stories that affect people directly and to reporting that gives a platform to voices that might otherwise go unheard. She was among the first journalists to speak to Petrofac employees in the UAE about unpaid salaries, broke the news of the planned demolition of Dubai’s well-known “Toyota Building”, and helped set the record straight on widely circulated claims that a giant replica of the Moon was coming to Dubai. More recently, her exclusive interview with EDGE Group CEO Hamad Al Marar revealed how the UAE-based defence group deployed its systems along the country’s shore border and established a geofence around the UAE within 48 hours of the February 28 escalation. Prior to joining Gulf News, Nivetha worked at ITP Media, where she helped launch Finance Middle East, a new publication covering the region’s financial sector. Her role spanned reporting and editing, video production, interviews and events. Across print, digital, and video, she focuses on finding the people behind business stories and explaining why those stories matter to the audience reading or watching them.
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