An iceberg floats in a fjord near the town of Tasiilaq, Greenland, on June 24, 2018 Image Credit: REUTERS

PARIS: As world leaders prepare for the COP26 climate summit from October 31, AFP Fact Check examines some common claims that question the existence of global heating caused by humans.

1.  'It's a hoax / conspiracy' 

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A view of a butterfly on dry earth at Los Laureles reservoir during Earth Day in Tegucigalpa on April 22, 2019. Los Laureles supplies over 50% of the 1,000,000-inhabitant Honduran capital of water. Image Credit: AFP

Some brand the crisis a hoax by scientists to justify their research grants - or even a conspiracy by governments to control people. If so, it would have to be one of extraordinary complexity, coordinated by successive governments in scores of countries with vast numbers of scientists.

Tens of thousands of peer-reviewed studies in the public domain have led to an overwhelming scientific consensus that human-made climate change is real. The most comprehensive such source is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Far from being a covert operation, its evidence and methods are published at

Its latest report, 3,500 pages long released this year, was approved by delegates from 195 states. It lists 234 authors from 66 countries as contributors.

The panel was founded under a UN resolution, which provides fuel for conspiracy theorists but offers proof of its bona fides for other people.

2. 'Climate has always changed' 

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Submerged cars are seen at a flooded hotel resort as extreme rainfall caused the Kosi River to overflow at the Jim Corbett National Park in Uttarakhand, India, Tuesday, Oct. 19, 2021. Image Credit: AP

Scientists know the Earth has long alternated between ice ages and periods of warming - about one ice age every 100,000 years over the past million years. Is the current heating just another stage in this cycle?

No - the speed, relative abruptness and global extent of the heating over the past 50 years make it different this time.

"Global surface temperature has increased faster since 1970 than in any other 50-year period over at least the last 2,000 years," the IPCC says, with graphs to demonstrate.

This is based on several forms of data: palaeological analysis of sediment, ice and tree rings for the period before the Industrial Revolution, and recorded temperatures since 1850.

 3. 'No proof of human cause' 

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Fires consume an area near Novo Progresso, Para state, Brazil, Saturday, Aug. 15, 2020. According with a local farmer, the fire was set by ranchers to clear the area for soybeans cropping. (AP Photo/Andre Penner) Image Credit: AP

As evidence of unusual warming has become incontrovertible, some sceptics concede it is happening but deny it is caused by the carbon emissions from humans burning fossil fuels.

The IPCC developed a climate model that measures the impact of different factors. It calculates the extent of heating with and without the effect of human activity.

"It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean and land," this year's IPCC report concluded.

A summary of this finding, with graphs, is on page eight of this document:

4. 'A little warming is good' 

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This file photo taken on September 28, 2021 shows a smokestack at the Wujing Coal-Electricity Power Station in Shanghai. Asia-Pacific accounts for about three-quarters of global coal consumption. Image Credit: AFP

"Large parts of the Country are suffering from tremendous amounts of snow and near record-setting cold.... Wouldn't be bad to have a little of that good old fashioned Global Warming right now!"

Donald Trump's tweet on January 20 blended a common climate myth - that cold weather is evidence against climate heating - with the assumption that even if warming is happening, it isn't all bad.

Climate is a measure of average weather variations over time. One day or one week of snow is therefore not enough to prove that average temperatures are not rising over decades.

Could "a little global warming" be nice? Parts of Siberia could become arable, expanding food resources - but the melting of permafrost in the same region threatens to create more problems.

A two-degree rise may sound pleasant enough - but the IPCC calculates that it is enough to drive up the level of the seas by half a metre or more, enough to drown coastal cities.

5. 'Scientists question climate change' 

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A dye used to monitor ocean currents spreads through sea water after being released by researcher Manoela Romano de Orte while working with Ken Caldeira, an atmospheric scientist at the Carnegie Institution for Science's Department of Global Ecology, while working at a research station on Lizard Island off the coast of Queensland, Australia. Image Credit: REUTERS

Specialists often voice scepticism, signing joint statements and editorials. But an examination of their credentials in numerous cases has revealed that these are rarely climate scientists.

Among scientists' criteria for measuring the legitimacy of claims, one of the most important is consensus - and the consensus on climate change is now overwhelming.

A recent survey by Cornell University of thousands of peer-reviewed studies on climate change found that in more than 99 percent of them the authors agreed that climate change was caused by humans.