Hong Kong: Investors will soon discover if Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index will undertake one of the biggest overhauls in its 51-year history, a move that would impact tens of billions of dollars in funds tracking the stock benchmark.
On Monday, Hang Seng Indexes Co. will offer its conclusion after an industry consultation over proposed measures to the city's stock benchmark, which if approved would increase the number of member constituents, cap weightings of individual companies and fast-track new listings.
The city's stock market is already undergoing change at a time when China's tech giants hold growing sway, forcing the hand the index compiler to act on a staid gauge overstuffed with banks and insurers. Hong Kong has become the preferred venue for a wave of Chinese megacaps to sell shares, including standouts like Kuaishou Technology, which surged 161% at its debut in early February after holding the world's largest internet initial public offering since Uber Technologies Inc.
The announcement will also come on the heels of a record buying frenzy from mainland traders that propelled the HSI past the 30,000 point level in January for the first time since May 2019, led by heavyweights like Tencent Holdings Ltd. and Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd. If the wide-ranging changes are approved, analysts say that the HSI, which in 2020 lagged global peers by the most in decades, could have more room to run.
"The valuation of the index will be pushed higher as more new economy stocks are expected to join under the changes," said Dickie Wong, executive director of research at Kingston Securities Ltd. "This could also make the index more volatile."
New stocks in index
As part of the proposed changes, Hang Seng Indexes is looking at ensuring that a certain number of benchmark members are classified as Hong Kong firms, which could dilute the influence of some of the largest stocks. The portion of mainland companies in the index by market value was 79% in 2020, according to the December consultation paper.
On Friday, Hang Seng Indexes added three companies to its index following its quarterly review, expanding the constituent count to 55 members from 52. The changes are effective March 15.
Launched in 1969, the Hang Seng Index started out with 33 constituents, rising to 38 in 2007 when it began to include H-share firms. Last year, Hang Seng Indexes added dual class shares and secondary listings to its index in a major revamp, allowing Chinese giants like Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. into the city's benchmark.