Push for Hamas-Fatah concord

Can Hamas and the other major Palestinian movement, Fatah, bridge the many rifts between them and build a better working relationship?

If they can, there is still a chance - despite the Israeli electorate's strong shift to the right - that former Senator George Mitchell can succeed in his presidentially mandated bid to make peace between Palestinians and Israelis. But if this intra-Palestinian reconciliation bid fails, the hopes for peace would be pummelled, and the Middle East might well see new violence, even more extensive and destabilising than the recent Gaza war.

That's reason enough for Mitchell, the special envoy to the Middle East, to give the intra-Palestinian reconciliation his tacit blessing. (And there are some indications he is doing just that.)

Talks between the two Palestinian parties have already started, mediated by Egypt. Egypt is also mediating indirect negotiations between Hamas and Israel over agreements to strengthen the January 18 Gaza cease-fire and to exchange abducted Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit (held since June 2006) for hundreds of Palestinian detainees.

Israel's exploitation of this Palestinian rift is taking a tragic human toll on the 1.5 million people who live in Gaza. Israel won't let in crucial construction materials and other aid unless officials from the Fatah-dominated Palestinian National Authority (PNA), rather than Hamas, accept the freight. (Collective punishment of this sort is illegal under international humanitarian law, but few governments have confronted Israel on that yet.) The dispute between Fatah and Hamas is thorny and multi-layered. They have disagreed over the best way to realise Palestinian national goals, and even over what those goals should be.

Fatah's leader, Mahmoud Abbas, has argued strongly for a two-state outcome and for negotiations with Israel as the only way to win it. He has often openly criticised Hamas's use of violence. Hamas leaders argue that Abbas's negotiations have gotten him nowhere, and that meanwhile Israeli colonies in the West Bank - illegal under international law - have expanded. Hamas has sharply criticised Fatah for mistreating Hamas activists living in the Fatah-controlled West Bank. And Fatah criticises Hamas for doing the same to its supporters in Gaza. Fatah accuses Hamas of being a tool of Iran, and Hamas accuses Fatah of being a tool of the US. The recriminations seem endless.

But the relationship between the two has not always been like this - and there are several signs that Egypt's current mediation effort might succeed.

At meetings in Cairo in mid-February, high-level delegations from both groups agreed to end the media war between them and to study plans to form a national unity government, hold new parliamentary and presidential elections, and rebuild Palestinian security forces.

At this point, each of these two big Palestinian movements needs the other. Hamas needs to renew ties with Fatah if the people in its home-base in Gaza are to get what they need. But Fatah also needs Hamas, to try to regain the political capital and popularity it lost because of the outspoken way Abbas criticised Hamas during the recent war.

If the Hamas-Israel prisoner exchange works out, one of those released would probably be Marwan Barghouti, an influential 'next generation' Fatah leader who strongly supports reconciling with Hamas - and who is a lot more popular than Abbas. His release could add a constructive new dynamic to Palestinian politics.

What kind of peace policy might a national unity government pursue? Some indications came during a reconciliation attempt in February 2007. Then, Hamas agreed that Abbas's team could do the negotiations with Israel but it stipulated that any final peace agreement should be submitted to a nationwide referendum; and it agreed, crucially, to abide by the results of that poll. Hamas leaders have recently reaffirmed that position.

From a peacemakers' viewpoint it would be preferable to win more active Hamas support for the negotiations - and through skilful diplomacy like the approach he used with recalcitrant parties in Northern Ireland, Mitchell might yet secure that. But at least, under Hamas's existing formula, the peace talks with Israel could proceed.

That 2007 reconciliation attempt, however, was undermined by Washington, so as the Palestinians try once again to reconcile, eyes are on Washington. Where George W. Bush pulled it apart, will Barack Obama give the unity push a tacit go-ahead?

Most people I've talked to recently in Syria, Egypt, and Jordan, hope strongly that he does. This region suffered badly, they say, from Bush administration efforts to foster division and distrust inside Arab societies. Now, they conclude, both the region as a whole - and especially the people of Gaza - need a policy from Washington that's far-sighted, smart, and inclusive.

- The Christian Science Monitor

Helena Cobban is a former Monitor correspondent. Her latest book is Re-engage! America and the World after Bush.