Riyadh: After his scheduled arrival here in the Saudi capital on Wednesday, ending a three-month absence, King Abdullah Bin Abdul Aziz is likely to find a nation seemingly moored in the eye of the epic storm howling around it.
More than ever before, Saudis are openly calling for change, including political reforms. The most vociferous are tech-savvy youths who have obsessively followed their peers' historic movements, especially in Egypt, on Twitter and Facebook.
True, King Abdullah - is genuinely liked by most of his subjects. And the government is shielded by a religious culture in which rebellion is deemed illicit and public street protest considered gauche.
But those agitating for change have made the internet their virtual Tahrir Square, with locations like #EgyEffectSA on Twitter acting as a public forum for how they see Egypt affecting Saudi Arabia.
In a move timed to the king's return, a group of 40 young Saudis, mostly journalists and rights activists, have signed an open "letter to the King."
Those who signed the letter say they were inspired by Arab youth elsewhere, and by the king's encouragement of national dialogue. They asked for elections for the advisory Shura Council, the right of women to vote and run as candidates, strong anti-corruption measures, and greater fiscal transparency and accountability.
In addition, they want the Cabinet reshuffled so that ministers' average age, now 65, is reduced to 40.
In another effort - albeit one that did not get very far - ten moderate Islamists, including university professors and lawyers, defied the ban on political parties and announced they were forming the Islamic Umma Party.
And last week, the king's half-brother Prince Talal Bin Abdul Aziz said in a BBC TV interview that unless the king made further reforms the kingdom risked future revolution. Although Talal is a maverick with little support within the royal family, his remarks are being widely discussed by Saudis.
Significantly, these calls for change do not include an end to the monarchy, which most Saudis believe would spell disaster.
"Most people, including the young, really do believe in the monarchy, especially King Abdullah - everybody adores him," says Eman Al Nafjan, a prominent Riyadh-based blogger. "It's just a matter of pushing for reforms" such as an elected parliament and "more transparency and accountability when it comes to the country's budget."
There have been some fleeting demonstrations: By college graduates who want the Education Ministry to give them jobs; by Jeddah residents angry about flood damage, and by about 50 women demanding the release of male relatives held for years without trial for alleged terrorist-related activities.
Unemployment, corruption, and these long-term detentions are the issues fuelling the most discontent here.
"We need a total reform regarding the dignity of the citizen," says Mohammad Al odaif, who has three male relatives detained for long periods without charges.
In a meeting last week with Saudi newspaper editors, Interior Minister Prince Nayef Bin Abdul Aziz, another half-brother to the king and a likely heir to the throne, said that events in Egypt were the work of outsiders and would have no effect on Saudi Arabia, according to a participant and others who got reports on the seven-hour gathering.
Prince Nayef also warned his audience about liberals trying to make Saudi Arabia like the West, they said.
Many Saudis agree with Nayef. They are deeply conservative and leery of change that would dilute their religious identity. And even those who want some reforms are worried about jeopardizing their domestic stability.
"I'm afraid of chaos, like in Iraq," says Sulaiman Aljimaie, a Jeddah attorney who thinks change is coming too fast in the Arab world. "The United States said it would move Iraq to democracy and now you see what happened there…. Change should be [introduced] slowly, not with this speed."
For now, all eyes are on King Abdullah and what he will say or do after his arrival.
"Everyone is holding their breath and delaying doing anything drastic until the King is back," Al Nafjan wrote on her blog. "Whatever he does when he gets back will decide the fate of our country."
