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Defence Secretary Sir Michael Fallon (left) greets Iraq’s General Othman al-Ghanim outside the Foreign Office ahead of a London summit with defence ministers from the coalition of countries fighting IS, also known as Daesh, in Iraq and Syria. Image Credit: Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire

London: US Defense Secretary Ash Carter expressed confidence Thursday that under the Trump administration the US will remain central to the international coalition fighting Daesh in Iraq and Syria.

“While I cannot speak for the next administration, I’m confident that based on the results we’re seeing and the strength of our coalition, the United States and its military will continue to be with you as a leading partner in this campaign,” Carter said, in kicking off his final war-planning conference with core members of the coalition.

The meeting got underway against the backdrop of questions about what Donald Trump’s arrival in the White House next month will mean for the future of the coalition.

Closing out a nearly two-week overseas trip that included a stop in Iraq, Carter was meeting with his counterparts from 14 nations. They were to receive an update from Army Gen. Joseph Votel on the battles to retake Mosul, Daesh’s key stronghold in Iraq, and Raqqa, the self-declared Daesh capital in Syria. As head of US Central Command, Votel is the top officer overseeing the counter-Daesh campaign in Syria and Iraq.

The defense officials also were to discuss doing more to train and equip the kinds of local Iraq and Syrian forces, including police and tribal fighters, that will be needed to hold Mosul and Raqqa once, as expected, Daesh is uprooted from those cities. Daesh has held those centers for more than two years.

In his introductory remarks, Carter said the coalition must remain involved in Iraq even after Daesh is driven from Mosul.

“We’ll need to continue to counter not only foreign fighters trying to escape, but also Daesh’s attempts to relocate or reinvent itself,” he said, according to his prepared remarks. “To do so, both the United States and the coalition must remain engaged militarily. In Iraq in particular, we must be prepared to provide sustained assistance to the Iraqi security forces to consolidate security over the rest of the country.”

The US has about 5,000 troops in Iraq.

But the backdrop to Thursday’s conference is deep uncertainty in London, Berlin and other coalition capitals about the implications for the counter-Daesh efforts of a change in US administrations in January. Trump has criticised President Barack Obama’s approach to fighting the militant group as weak and ineffective, and he has suggested that the US has blindly supported anti-Daesh groups without knowing their true aims.

Among the questions Carter cannot answer: Will Trump withdraw support for US-backed rebels groups in Syria, who have now lost the city of Aleppo? And if he does, will he join forces with Russia? How might such moves affect public support for the anti-Daesh coalition in Germany and elsewhere?

Though Obama has tried to work diplomatically with Russia, Syria cease-fire deals have repeatedly collapsed, with the US accusing Moscow of failing to use its influence to prevent Syria’s President Bashar Al Assad from violating them. Meanwhile, Russia’s military intervention has succeeded in helping Al Assad reclaim the upper hand. The US-led coalition has avoided direct military action against Al Assad’s force, focusing instead on supporting local rebels willing to fight Daesh while coupling that effort with aerial bombing in both Syria and Iraq.

Carter was expected to emphasise to his counterparts at the London conference the prominent role that retired Marine Gen. James Mattis will play as the president-elect’s choice to succeed Carter at the Pentagon. Mattis is well-known and widely admired in Europe, having headed NATO’s Supreme Allied Command Transformation from 2007 to 2009, a role focused on preparing the military alliance for security challenges of the future.

Carter has held five other counter-Daesh conferences with coalition partners. Thursday’s will be the first to include Iraq’s army chief of staff, Lt. Gen. Othman Al Ghanami. The other countries represented, in addition to the US, are Australia, New Zealand, Belgium, the Netherlands, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Britain, Norway, Spain and Turkey.

In addition to hearing from Votel about the military campaigns in Iraq and Syria, the officials will receive a briefing by Marine Lt. Gen. Joseph Osterman on US efforts to disrupt Daesh’s plans for directing, supporting and inspiring attacks outside of Iraq and Syria. Osterman is deputy commander of US Special Operations Command.

At nearly every stop on his current round-the-world tour, Carter has met with US troops and assured them that the counter-Daesh campaigns are going according to plan. At Aviano air base in Italy on Wednesday, Carter said coalition-backed Arab and Kurdish fighters are within 15 miles of Raqqa, the self-declared Daesh capital in Syria, and that they are “completing the envelopment and ultimately the seizure” of the city.

He also alluded to the uncertain future of the campaign and the coalition.

“We need to look ahead,” he said. “What comes after? And are we getting ready for that?”