Prime Minister David Cameron will let members of his cabinet decide for themselves whether to campaign for Britain to stay in or leave the European Union — a so-called Brexit — in a referendum expected later this year after he’s renegotiated membership terms. Cameron said on Tuesday he’d achieved a “good outcome” in a draft agreement. But which way are his ministers likely to go?

Tending toward staying in

George Osborne: The chancellor of the exchequer is taking a leading role in Britain’s renegotiation, with his stance closely aligned with Cameron’s. “It’s very important to Britain’s future that we are in a reformed European Union,” he said last month.

Theresa May: The home secretary said the draft agreement “is a basis for a deal.” She said it was “encouraging” that the proposal recognised the need to stop abuse of free-movement rules and would let the UK deport “dangerous foreign criminals.”

Philip Hammond: The foreign secretary said he “can’t envisage us negotiating a deal which the prime minister thinks is good enough to recommend to the British people and which I want to campaign against.”

Stephen Crabb: The Welsh secretary said “if the prime minister’s renegotiation is successful and he secures the reforms he has spelt out, then I believe it will be in the UK’s best interests to remain in a reformed European Union.”

Amber Rudd: The energy secretary said there would be “unknown” consequences for the energy market, households and businesses if Britain leaves. “I would like to see a reformed EU, and then I’d like to campaign to stay in,” she said.

Greg Hands: The chief secretary to the Treasury described free movement of labour across the EU as “very important” and said the UK “benefits from that a great deal.” Migrant workers are “a fantastic thing to have,” he said.

Liz Truss: The environment secretary said she fully supports Cameron’s renegotiation. “I have seen how hard he is fighting to get a better deal for Britain. There is a huge prize at stake and one worth fighting for.”

Nicky Morgan: The education secretary said she could “personally not” imagine backing a British EU exit.

Jeremy Hunt: The health secretary has expressed backing for Cameron to get an acceptable deal, though he’s said he’d support Brexit if no deal is achieved.

Patrick McLoughlin: The transport secretary said he backs staying in, saying he’s “looking forward to a bit more of a conversation about some of the good things that come out of Europe.”

On the fence

Boris Johnson: The London mayor has failed to come down firmly on either side in the debate. Johnson said that Cameron “has been doing a very, very good job of getting people to see things his way, I think there is much, much more, however, that needs to be done.”

Michael Gove: The justice secretary said he’d be prepared to vote to leave the EU and that life outside the bloc would be “perfectly tolerable.” Gove denied a report in December that he was about to come out in favour of an exit, saying a deal could only be judged once concluded.

Michael Fallon: “We are all sceptics about Europe. We all want to see reform in Europe,” the defence secretary said. “We’re all thoroughly behind the prime minister in his reform agenda.”

Tending toward leaving

Chris Grayling: The leader of the House of Commons: “I want Britain to choose between a changed relationship and leaving, and not between the current situation and leaving.”.

Iain Duncan Smith: The work and pensions secretary said in November that “Brexit” campaigners “may well carry the day” but said last month he’ll only make up his mind which way to vote after the renegotiation is completed.

Sajid Javid: The business secretary last month refused to be drawn on whether he might campaign to leave if a satisfactory deal isn’t achieved.

Theresa Villiers: The Northern Ireland secretary was among Tory Euro-sceptics attending a 2012 dinner to mark the 20th anniversary of the rebellion against the Maastricht Treaty.

Oliver Letwin: The minister who runs the Cabinet Office said in 2014 he would like Britain to be part of an outer rim of EU states forming a free-trade zone. He said there was an 80 per cent chance of Cameron getting the sort of deal he wanted, and if not, he “would want to recommend leaving.”