WASHINGTON: The US economy grew faster than initially thought in the second quarter on solid domestic demand, showing fairly strong momentum that could still allow the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates this year.
Gross domestic product expanded at a 3.7 per cent annual pace instead of the 2.3 per cent rate reported last month, the Commerce Department said on Thursday in its second GDP estimate.
The GDP report, which was released in the wake of a global stock market sell-off, should offer assurance to both investors and cautious Fed officials that the United States was in good shape to weather the growing strains in the world economy.
Concerns over slowing economic growth in China sent global equity markets into a tailspin last week, raising doubts that the US central bank would raise its short-term interest rate next month.
On Wednesday, New York Fed President William Dudley said that prospects of a September lift-off in the central bank’s key lending rate “seems less compelling to me than it was a few weeks ago.” The upward revisions to second-quarter growth also reflected the accumulation of $121.1 billion (Dh444.80 billion) worth of inventories, up from the previous estimate of $110 billion. That meant inventories contributed 0.22 percentage point to GDP instead of subtracting 0.08 percentage point as reported last month.
While the huge inventory build will likely weigh on growth in the third quarter, the blow could be softened by rebounding business investment on capital goods.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected that second-quarter GDP growth would be revised to a 3.2 per cent rate.
Underscoring the economy’s solid fundamentals, a measure of private domestic demand, which excludes trade, inventories and government expenditures, increased at a 3.3 per cent rate, instead of the previously reported 2.5 per cent pace.
Consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of US economic activity, grew at a 3.1 per cent rate, rather than the 2.9 per cent pace reported last month. Consumer spending got off a to brisk start in the third quarter, with retail sales rising solidly in July.
A strong labour market, cheaper gasoline and relatively higher house prices, which are boosting household wealth, are helping to support consumer spending.
Investment in non-residential structures was revised to show it rising at a 3.1 per cent rate, reflecting stronger spending on commercial and health care construction. It was previously reported to have contracted at a 1.6 per cent pace.
Spending on residential construction was raised to a 7.8 per cent pace from a 6.6 per cent rate. Business spending on equipment was not as weak as initially thought.
The energy sector continued to weigh on growth as it struggles with the lingering effects of deep spending cuts by oilfield companies like Schlumberger and Halliburton
in the aftermath of a more than 60 per cent plunge in crude oil prices since last year.
Spending on mining exploration, wells and shafts plunged at a 68.3 per cent rate in the second quarter, the largest decline since the second quarter of 1986. This category was previously reported to have contracted at a 68.2 per cent pace.
The trade deficit was smaller than previously reported, adding 0.23 percentage point to GDP growth.
The GDP report also showed after-tax corporate profits rebounded 1.3 per cent in the second quarter after declining 7.9 per cent in the first quarter. A strong dollar has constrained the profits of multinational corporations.
— Reuters
