The winner in Nigeria’s general elections between President Goodluck Jonathan (Peoples Democratic Party) and former military ruler Mohammedu Buhari (All Progressives Congress) will have to tackle three elements in the country’s framework: Economy, security and corruption. More importantly, the constant shadow of Boko Haram and its rampant anti-state activities will have to be erased from the public’s consciousness if Nigeria is to ever realise its rich economic potential. A look at the current situation in the country reveals a stark fracture in the state’s internal security apparatus and the new president will have to reassure the voters that their expectations will be met.
It is against this challenging backdrop that Nigerians will vote tomorrow. Businesses are being battered, thanks to falling oil prices and, with it, the country’s currency — the naira — is also in free fall. Formation of a government that makes the right promises will determine the return of foreign investors as well. With the economy having sunk by at least 50 per cent, people are looking for guarantees across multiple platforms and this makes it a very close election. Both candidates are focusing on health care, security and employment and in terms of their manifestos, there is little to choose between the two, which is why the exit polls are predicting a close contest. Jonathan has had his chance to govern. His report card has been far from impressive. His handling of the Boko Haram problem has hit Nigeria hard on multiple fronts. Opting to give the mandate to Buhari — a former dictator, who seized power in a coup in 1983 and ruled with an iron fist and is now rolling the dice for another fling at administration — will mean that desperate Nigerians are bereft of choice.
Buhari, who refers to himself as a “converted democrat” is hoping to provide a jump-start with reforms, investment and tackling corruption. The country’s main opposition groups are backing these assurances. The polls, however, are too close to call and the threat of violence cannot be ruled out in the event of a dispute. That apart, the winner will not find it easy to govern.
