Shanghai: Bank of China Ltd and China Merchants Bank Co Ltd are poised to issue China’s first bad debt backed securities since 2008, according to statements posted on the website of China’s main bond clearinghouse.
Bank of China will lead the asset-backed security (ABS) launch next week with a 301 million yuan ($45.99 million) deal, while China Merchants Bank will follow up with a 233 million yuan ($35.60 million) product.
The amounts are minuscule compared with an outstanding 1.39 trillion yuan ($212.37 billion) of non-performing loans at Chinese commercial banks by the end of the first quarter.
However, a source with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters in February that six large banks had been given bad loan securitisation quotas totalling 50 billion yuan, without providing further details.
Many analysts believe the real bad debt burden at China’s banks is much higher, but even the official figures show a sharp rise in troubled loans.
Bad loans were up 9.4 per cent quarter on quarter at the end of March, data from the China Banking Regulatory Commission showed this month.
Policymaker concern over the massive debt overhang has become more obvious in recent weeks with a widely read editorial this month in the People’s Daily, the official newspaper of the ruling Communist Party, warning of the dangers of depending on debt for further growth.
Bank lending also fell back sharply in April following a record surge in the first quarter, in what some analysts have interpreted as a sign that the current easing cycle is nearing its end.
Banks made 555.6 billion yuan ($85.21 billion) in net new yuan loans in April, much lower than expected and less than half the 1.37 trillion yuan seen in March.
“Since GDP growth in 1Q16 remained above the 6.5 per cent target, it seems likely that policymakers will now focus more on averting a major bubble and dialling back leverage,” wrote Chen Long of the research house Gavekal Dragonomics in a note on Monday following the April data release.
“This is not to say that the central bank will cause another interbank liquidity crunch, but it will instead focus on keeping rates low and stable. Hence, do not expect more easing policies in the next 3 to 6 months.”
