Washington: US Secretary of State John Kerry met his Russian counterpart in Geneva on Friday in a renewed bid to coordinate the fight against Islamist extremist groups in Syria.
While the US and Russia are still at odds about the fate of Syrian President Bashar Al Assad and differ on how to fight the rebel groups, the talks might at least bring about a weekly 48-hour pause in fighting to allow United Nations aid convoys to reach the city of Aleppo in northwest Syria. The city has seen fierce fighting between rebel groups and Syrian troops backed by Russian air strikes, and hundreds of thousands of civilians remain cut off from relief.
The meeting marks yet another attempt to reach some agreement on easing the five-year conflict that has killed at least 250,000 people and spurred millions of Syrians to seek refuge in Europe. Numerous efforts in the past to pause the fighting and start a political transition have failed, stymied by Al Assad’s refusal to leave power, Russian and Iranian support for his regime, and the mingling of moderate and extremist rebel groups fighting him.
Asked at the start of the gathering to identify the main impediment to a broader nationwide ceasefire, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov responded: “I don’t want to spoil the atmosphere for the negotiations.”
The American team has not said if they’ll bring up a US government proposal to coordinate on air strikes against Daesh and other Syrian rebel groups that the two countries agree are terrorists. Under that overture, first revealed by the Washington Post last month, Russia would use its influence to persuade Al Assad to ground his air force and uphold a ceasefire. The US in turn would share intelligence with Russia to coordinate strikes against Islamist groups.
Any US-Russian coordination would be complicated by the fact that Russia says there are Islamist extremist groups mixed in with the moderate rebels that the US supports. Russia accuses the US of preventing strikes on terrorist groups out of concern that would mean targeting these rebels.
“A terrorist centre” remains in those areas of Syria and “no one can deal with it because so-called moderate opposition groups are there,” Russian foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said in an interview the day before the talks.
At the moment, a key focus is the humanitarian situation in Aleppo. The UN special envoy for Syria, Staffan de Mistura, said on Thursday that Russia has agreed to a 48-hour ceasefire there and he’s waiting to hear if rebels will do the same. He said trucks are ready to bring humanitarian relief to the city.
“We’re very focused obviously on the cessation of hostilities, yes, on wide humanitarian access, yes, creating the grounds for a political solution,” US State Department spokeswoman Elizabeth Trudeau said on Thursday.
The US says the fight against Daesh can’t happen without Al Assad leaving power. Russia thinks differently; its intervention in September of last year reversed the rebel advance. Syria is also getting help from Iran, and in recent days Turkey launched its own assault across its border with Syria, driving Daesh fighters from the town of Jarabulus with American air support.
While President Barack Obama demanded Al Assad’s ouster five years ago, his administration may ease off its demand that he leave to address more immediate issues such as the humanitarian crisis, according to analysts including Cliff Kupchan, chairman of the Eurasia Group.
“I think there’s a shift in the balance of intellectual opinion in the administration, toward postponing ‘Al Assad must go’ in the name of providing humanitarian assistance to save lives,” Kupchan said. “The Obama administration correctly perceives this as the last best chance to ease the killing during this administration and are therefore willing to swallow a bitter pill and get more on-board with the Russian initiative than they would have liked to in an ideal world.”