Washington: AT&T Inc’s $85.4 billion (Dh313.4 billion) bid for entertainment titan Time Warner Inc is where few imagined it would end up — hurtling toward a make-or-break moment in Washington with a pro-business Republican administration that shows signs it may reject the deal.

Dallas-based AT&T is fighting an increasingly public battle with Justice Department antitrust officials, who have questioned whether the combined company would wield too much power. After months of quiet talks with officials, Chief Executive Officer Randall Stephenson last week vowed to investors that it won’t sell the CNN unit that has drawn President Donald Trump’s ire.

Lobbyists for the telecommunications giant are increasing their outreach to Congress as it becomes clear the merger is meeting resistance, according to a people familiar with the company’s messaging. Among their talking points: the deal would marry companies that do different things, which normally doesn’t require as much scrutiny as transactions between direct competitors, the people said.

“We’re in a completely different phase” from a few weeks ago, said Blair Levin, a former Federal Communications Commission chief of staff. “Both sides need to simultaneously work toward a settlement, while at the same time laying the groundwork to win in court.”

AT&T sent several representatives to a congressional hearing with Attorney General Jeff Sessions Tuesday during which the merger came up, and some of those people went up on the dais to talk to lawmakers during the break.

Sessions was asked during the House hearing whether the White House or anyone on behalf of the Trump administration had contacted him about the proposed merger and asked for the sale of Turner, the Time Warner unit that owns CNN, as a condition for approval.

“I cannot accept the accuracy of that news report,” Sessions responded. “Our work is professional.”

Asked later in the hearing whether any White House employee has contacted the Justice Department to interfere with or discuss the AT&T deal, Sessions said he was unable to comment on “conversations or communications that Department of Justice top people have with top people in the White House.”

Political interference

Representative John Conyers of Michigan, the top-ranking Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, and Representative David Cicilline of Rhode Island called for hearings on what they called the Trump administration’s “troubling pattern of potential political interference.”

For AT&T, the fight may evoke unhappy memories of another bruising Washington round six year ago, when regulators forced the telecommunications provider to drop plans to buy smaller wireless company T-Mobile US Inc for $39 billion.

Then, as now, the company had a powerful lobbying corps. Now many of its roughly 100 members are fighting for a deal that would give AT&T control of not only CNN, but also a movie studio, HBO, and Turner TV networks such as TBS. Those units would provide content for AT&T’s distribution operations such as DirecTV and its internet video network, and the company aims to use its data on viewership habits to offer highly targeted advertising.

In the third quarter of 2017, AT&T spent $4.43 million on influencing the federal government, making it the biggest spender among single companies for the period, according to disclosures. It has been in the top three spenders for the last three quarters. Lobbyists include three former members of Congress, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, which tracks political spending.

Overall, it spent $13.17 million on lobbying in the first three quarters of the year, up from $12.66 million during the same period in 2016, according to the disclosures.

Fletcher Cook, a spokesman for AT&T, declined to comment.

Among lobbyists registered to work on the merger is Bill Smith of Sextons Creek, who served as chief of staff to Vice President Mike Pence when the latter was a congressman and later Indiana’s governor.

The Communications Workers of America lent its support Tuesday in an emailed statement that called for prompt approval of the deal, saying the combined company “would provide much-needed new competition to companies like Google, Facebook and Amazon, whereworking people don’t have union representation.”

Brinkmanship

Antitrust regulators had appeared to be working toward a compromise with AT&T, but now brinkmanship is coming into play, according to a November 12 note from Jonathan Chaplin, an analyst with New Street Research. Deal approval remains likely, but odds have worsened, according to the note.

“As AT&T has a strong case, it has less incentive to settle, and if the government is motivated by a desire to fulfil a Trump campaign promise, it has less incentive to settle,” Chaplin said in the research note.

Trump as a candidate vowed to block the deal and since taking office has been critical of CNN’s coverage of his presidency. He said during his recent trip to Asia that the merger may go to litigation.

AT&T has insisted it will hold on to CNN. It will try to dig into whether the White House influenced the Justice Department’s review if the government sues to block the deal, according to people familiar with the matter.

“I don’t see any way out of a head-to-head confrontation in the courtroom,” said Gene Kimmelman, a former antitrust official who is president of the policy group Public Knowledge, which opposes the deal.